Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Operation Protective Edge: Day 51 – Is it over?

On Tuesday August 26 at 11:00AM CST, Israel and Hamas announced that they accepted an Egyptian proposal for an open-ended cease-fire starting immediately. Within fifteen minutes all rocket and mortar fire ceased from Gaza, and Israel refrained from attacking militant targets.
   The silence was eerie. No sirens, no explosions on either side, no Iron Dome interceptors streaking skywards, no pillars of fire lighting the Gaza night, no roar of Israeli jets on endless rounds of attack missions or the ominous and unmistakable sounds of  Israeli combat helicopters hovering briefly as they face the target they are about to destroy with devastating air-to-ground missiles.
   The silence was disrupted in Gaza by spontaneous celebrations in the streets. Hamas spokesmen bragged over every loudspeaker in the squares about the “glorious victory” over “the army that no-one else in the world could beat”
   “Victory?” – I don’t think they’ll still think so when they look around and see that the Strip is literally destroyed. Whole residential and commercial areas are piles of rubble. Public service buildings are unusable and the hospitals are over-crowded and understaffed. There is almost no electricity and no running water. Broken sewage pipes flow into the streets.
    A lot of the damage happened in the past week, and could have been prevented if only Hamas had accepted just one more 24 hour cease-fire extension, to complete an interim agreement.
   But as predicted in my article last week, the cease-fire was never extended. The rocket fire from Gaza intensified in volume and range, and we saw more use of mortar fire by the terrorists. Last Friday, a mortar attack killed a beautiful; smiling four year old boy, Daniel Tregerman, who was just inches away from reaching the “secure area” inside his home in Kibbutz Nachal Oz.
   As the rocket and mortar barrages continued around the clock, Israel stepped up strikes against the launchers and military targets of both Hamas and the Islamic Jihad. Israel warned the entire population of Gaza, through thousands of flyers, hacked Palestinian radio and TV broadcasts and direct phone calls to immediately evacuate any building or area where Hamas or Islamic Jihad military activity was taking place, as that area or building will be attacked by the IDF.
   On Sunday and Monday the Israeli air force destroyed several multi-story office and apartment buildings, after warning the occupants, because they were being used as terrorist command centers or launch sites.
  In addition, Israel successfully continued to decapitate the command structure of the military wing of Hamas through targeted assassinations. In one attack the IDF targeted Mohammed Deif, the legendary commander of the Hamas military wing. Hamas announced that his wife and son were killed when the house they were hiding in was destroyed, but have not yet confirmed whether Deif was killed or injured. Either way the pinpoint attack on his secret hiding place was a huge psychological blow to the terrorist organization.
   The following day, in a separate strike, Israel succeeded in killing the three most senior military commanders of Hamas directly under Deif.    
   But the rocket fire did not ease up with over 200 rockets and mortars fired at Israel over the weekend, including several towards Tel-Aviv, Jerusalem and Ben Gurion airport.
   In the midst of all this, as the attacks continue, the Egyptians succeeded in getting all sides (Israel, Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the smaller “resistance groups” in Gaza) to agree to a new “cease-fire”. This one will not be time limited, and will be conditioned on absolute “quiet for quiet”.
   According to the Egyptian proposal there will be immediate relief for the people in Gaza in the form of open crossing points for increased shipment of food, water, goods, medicines, etc.
In addition (and Israel has reportedly agreed), money will be transferred from the Palestinian Authority to pay salaries, the fishing area will be extended and Egypt will open the Rafah crossing under the supervision of Abu Mazen’s forces. Both Israel and Egypt will provide extra electricity and water.
   Most important for both Hamas and Islamic Jihad – under very tight Israeli, Egyptian and international supervision, Egypt and Israel will allow in construction materials, to rebuild the devastated residential and commercial areas.
   Within one month, and assuming the cease-fire is holding, the indirect negotiations over a permanent, lasting truce will resume in Cairo. With humanitarian conditions in Gaza deteriorating, all sides have agreed to leave the “heavier” issues: airport; seaport; demilitarization, governance of Gaza, etc.
   It is now 1:30 CST on Tuesday August 26. As of this writing, the open-ended cease-fire has been holding for 2 hours and fifteen minutes.
   But as several Israeli commentators said over the past few hours – “we’ve already seen this movie”.
   Hamas will not change, and will remain identical to ISIS. Qatar will remain dedicated to supporting terrorists who are committed to destroying Israel and killing Jews. This is a time for licking wounds, and unfortunately, preparing for the next round of the ongoing war that started in 1947 – The Israeli War of Independence.

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